TRENDS AND VARIABILITY OF SNOW COVER IN SLAVSKO DURING 1948–2020 UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE
Abstract
Snow plays a significant role in the climate system by altering soil properties, land–atmosphere heat and moisture exchange, the surface radiation balance, and key components of the hydrological cycle. As a major element of the cryosphere, snow cover shapes local meteorological conditions while simultaneously influencing atmospheric processes across broader spatial and temporal scales, including general circulation anomalies, Rossby wave modifications, the dynamics of sudden stratospheric warmings, and features of the East Asian summer monsoon. Given the high sensitivity of snow cover to changes in temperature, analysing its long-term dynamics is critically important, particularly in the context of the strong positive air-temperature trends observed during the winter and winter–spring transition periods.
The paper presents a comprehensive analysis of long-term snow-cover dynamics at the Slavsko meteorological station (Ukrainian Carpathians) for the period 1948/49–2019/20, one of the longest continuous observational records in the high-mountain regions of Ukraine. Using daily meteorological data, a physico-statistical and climatic assessment was performed of the duration of the snow season, the period of stable snow cover, the timing of snow formation and melt, maximum and mean snow depth, and integral indicators of snow accumulation. For the first time for the Slavsko station, a classification of winter seasons was conducted using snowiness and winter-severity index, which allowed the identification and systematisation of 22 winter types and helped trace their evolution in response to climatic perturbations.
These results provide a detailed understanding of snow-cover dynamics in the Ukrainian Carpathians, capturing long-term trends and the rising variability of recent decades. Such evidence is vital for strengthening climate-adaptation strategies in winter tourism, hydrology, transportation infrastructure, and the broader mountain economy.
References
Amihaesei, V., Micu, D., Cheval, S., Dumitrescu, A., Sfîcă, L., Birsan, M.-V. Changes in snow cover climatology in Romania (1961–2020). Research Square Preprint. Research Square, 2023, 28 p., https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2023.101637
Babichenko, V.M., Zuzuk, F.V. (Eds.). Klimat Lvova [Climate of Lviv]. Volynskyi Derzhavnyi Universytet, Lutsk, 1998, 188 p.
Barnett, T.P., Adam, J.C., Lettenmaier, D.P. Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions. Nature. Nature Publishing Group, London, 2005, pp. 303–309
Beniston, M., Farinotti, D., Stoffel, M., Andreassen, L.M., Coppola, E., Eckert, N., Fantini, A., Giacona, F., Hauck, C., Huss, M., Huwald, H., Lehning, M., López-Moreno, J.-I., Magnusson, J., Marty, C., Morán-Tejéda, E., Morin, S., Naaim, M., Provenzale, A., Rabatel, A., Six, D., Stötter, J., Strasser, U., Terzago, S., Vincent, C. The European mountain cryosphere: A review of its current state, trends, and future challenges. The Cryosphere. Copernicus Publications, Göttingen, 2018, pp. 759–794, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-759-2018.
Birsan, M.-V., Dumitrescu, A. Snow variability in Romania in connection to large-scale atmospheric circulation. International Journal of Climatology. Wiley, Chichester, 2014, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3671.
Brown, R.D., Mote, P.W. The response of Northern Hemisphere snow cover to a changing climate. Journal of Climate. American Meteorological Society, Boston, 2009, pp. 2124–2145.
Brown, R.D., Robinson, D.A. Northern Hemisphere spring snow cover variability and change over 1922–2010 including an assessment of uncertainty. The Cryosphere, 2011, 5, pp. 219–229. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-5-219-2011
Bulygina, O.N., Razuvaev, V.N., Korshunova, N.N. Changes in snow cover over Northern Eurasia in the last decades. Environmental Research Letters, 2009, 4, 045026. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/4/4/045026
Chrzanowski, J. Snow cover in Poland: its thickness classification and regionalization. Materiały Badawcze Seria Meteorologia, 1988, 15, pp. 1–43.
Dong, C., Menzel, L. Recent snow cover changes over central European low mountain ranges. Hydrological Processes. Wiley, Chichester, 2020, pp. 321–338, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13586.
Fontrodona Bach, A., van der Schrier, G., Melsen, L.A., Klein Tank, A.M.G., Teuling, A.J. Widespread and accelerated decrease of observed mean and extreme snow depth over Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, 2018, 45, pp. 312–319. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079799
Henderson, G.R., Leathers, D.J. European snow cover extent variability and associations with atmospheric forcings. International Journal of Climatology, 2010, 30, pp. 1440–1451. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1990
Hurrell, J.W., Deser, C. North Atlantic climate variability: The role of the North Atlantic Oscillation. Journal of Marine Systems. Elsevier, Amsterdam, 2009, pp. 28–41.
IPCC. Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2021, 3949 p., https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.
Ivus, H.P., Hurska, L.M., Marchyshyn, R.M. Minlyvist kharakterystyk snihovoho pokryvu na meteostantsii Slavsko protiahom 1990–2010 rokiv [Variability of snow cover characteristics at the Slavsko meteorological station during 1990–2010]. Ukrainskyi Hidrometeorolohichnyi Zhurnal, 2014, 14, pp. 35–42.
Janasz, J. Thermic and snow conditions of winters in Lublin (1960/61–1994/95). Acta Agrophysica, 2000, 34, pp. 71–78.
Jankowska, Z., Falarz, M. Melting of the snow cover in the Polish Tatra Mountains – Long-term changes and the impact of atmospheric circulation. Quaestiones Geographicae. Sciendo, Poznań, 2025, pp. 5–20.
Kuhn, M., Olefs, M. Elevation-dependent climate change in the European Alps. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science. Oxford University Press, Oxford, 2020, 24 p., https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190228620. 001. 0001/acrefore-9780190228620-e-762.
Lipinskyi, V.M. (Ed.). Klimat Ukrainy [Climate of Ukraine]. Vydavnytstvo Raievskoho, Kyiv, 2003, 343 p.
Marty, C., Meister, R. Long-term snow and weather observations at Weissfluhjoch and its relation to other high-altitude observatories in the Alps. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. Springer, Berlin, 2012, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-012-0584-3.
Matiu, M., Crespi, A., Bertoldi, G., Carmagnola, C., Marty, C., Morin, S., Schöner, W., Berro, D., Chiogna, G., Gregorio, L., Kotlarski, S., Majone, B., Resch, G., Terzago, S., Valt, M., Beozzo, W., Cianfarra, P., Gouttevin, I., Marcolini, G., Weilguni, V. Observed snow depth trends in the European Alps 1971–2019. The Cryosphere. Copernicus Publications, Göttingen, 2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2020-289.
Mudryk, L., Santolaria-Otín, M., Krinner, G., Ménégoz, M., Derksen, C., Brutel-Vuilmet, C., Brady, M., Essery, R. Historical Northern Hemisphere snow cover trends and projected changes in the CMIP-6 multi-model ensemble. The Cryosphere. Copernicus Publications, Göttingen, 2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2019-320.
Paczos, S. The problem of winter classification in the light of various thermal criteria. Annales UMCS, 1985, 40(7), pp. 133–155.
Quéно, L., Vionnet, V., Dombrowski-Etchevers, I., Lafaysse, M., Dumont, M., Karbou, F. Snowpack modelling in the Pyrenees driven by kilometric-resolution meteorological forecasts. The Cryosphere. Copernicus Publications, Göttingen, 2016, pp. 1571–1589, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-1571-2016.
Ray, S., Das, S.S., Mishra, P., Al Khatib, A.M.G. Time series SARIMA modelling and forecasting of monthly rainfall and temperature in South Asian countries. Earth Systems and Environment, 2021, 5, pp. 531–546.
Stepanenko, S.M., Polovyi, A.M. (Eds.). Klimatychni ryzyky funktsionuvannia haluzei ekonomiky Ukrainy v umovakh zminy klimatu [Climatic Risks of the Functioning of Economic Sectors of Ukraine under Climate Change]. Odessa State Environmental University, Odesa: TES, 2018, 548 p. ISBN 978-617-7711-22-2.
Szyga-Pluta, K. Changes in snow cover occurrence and the atmospheric circulation impact in Poznań (Poland). Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2022, 147, pp. 925–940. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-021-03875-8

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.




